Saturday, November 9, 2013

Northeast Extreme Weather League Details, Rules, and Regulations

Which city has the most extreme weather in the Northeast? Is it Buffalo with their feet upon feet of lake-effect snow or Caribou, the "most northeastern city in the United States"? Or is it the sweltering heat island of Washington D.C.? What about New York City and Boston?

This competition tries to answer those questions through a fun and creative format. There will be 32 notable cities battling it out to be crowned "champion" and make a case for having the worst weather in the Northeast.

REVISIONS

  • 11/11/2013 6:30PM: Made changes to when each temperature versions are used. I based it on looking at climo data for specific cities and tweaked the months according to what I judged would make competition fair between northern and southern cities.
  • 11/10/2013 5:45PM: Minor revisions to the 2nd tiebreaker in the Game Tiebreaker section
  • 11/9/2013 10:30PM: More changes to temperature system stating specifically when each version will be used to better reflect the seasonal temperature changes
  • Again, thanks to @ncoram_wx, at 11/9/2013 9:45PM... revised the scoring criteria to include different scoring versions for temperatures in order to make competition fairer depending on the season
  • MAJOR CHANGES ON SCHEDULING: 11/9/2013 7:45PM... Big thanks to @ncoram_wx for helping out!!

LIST OF TEAMS

  • 2 conferences: New England Conference and Mid-Atlantic Conference
  • 8 divisions total, 4 in each conference
    • New England Conference - MA Division, CT/RI Division, VT Division, ME/NH Division
    • Mid-Atlantic Conference - NY State Division, NYC Metro Division, PA Division, Capital Division
City (ASOS identifier / Abbreviation)


PRESEASON

The preseason will run 3 weeks from November 10th to November 30th. Each team will play a total of 3 games. This is a time to test out the scoring system and work out any tweaks that need to be made to prepare for the regular season. It is a work in progress!

2013 preseason schedule (Bold - Division opponents):



REGULAR SEASON

There will be two separate seasons in a year: winter and summer. The 2014 Winter regular season starts on December 1st, 2013 and ends on April 5th, 2014. The 2014 Summer regular season starts on June 1st, 2014 and ends on October 4th, 2014. Each team will play a total of 18 games. The top 16 cities (top 8 from each conference) qualify for the playoffs and compete for the title starting on April 6th. Here is the regular season format:
  • 2 games against cities in their division (2 x 3 = 6 games)
  • 1 games against cities in 2 specific division in their conference on a rotating schedule (2 x 4 = 8 games)
  • 1 game against cities in a specific division in the other conference on a rotating schedule (1 x 4 = 4 games)
The schedule will be released at a later time.

A tiebreak may be needed if cities are tied for a spot in their division or conference at the end of the season. See the playoffs tiebreaker section for details.

RULES

  • The objective is to score more points than the opponent during the span of an entire game. A game lasts 7 days in the regular season, 14 days in the playoffs, starting on Sunday and ending on Saturday.
  • After each day, scoring is tabulated for each city based on its high/low temperature, precipitation, and wind speed. See the scoring section on how this works. The data that will be used comes from the F-6 form provided by the NWS.
  • Points are added up and the city who accumulates the most points wins.
  • If scores are tied after the allotted time, a tiebreak will be used. Check the game tiebreaker section for details.

SCORING

Four different formulas are used to convert the raw data from F-6 forms into points. Consideration is placing more emphasis on precipitation, then wind speed, and then temperature with the least emphasis. So a city who does well in precipitation beats a city who does equally well in the temperature criteria, but not as well in precipitation. Here is the breakdown:

TEMPERATURE
  • There are four separate formulas for low and high temperatures...two of each depending on which type of version is used. Both high and low temps are calculated and transcribed into points and the one that results in the most points is the one being considered and added to the score. The other is thrown out.
  • High temperature
    • SUMMER VERSION (Used from start of winter playoffs until middle of summer playoffs) (April - November)
    • If the temperature is greater than or equal to 70°, then P = .1 * T - 6.9 (T = high temperature, P = points awarded)
    • If the temperature is less than 70°, no points are awarded.
    • WINTER VERSION (Reasoning for lowering criteria: to give southern cities a chance to score temperature points in the winter season) (Used from middle of summer playoffs until start of winter playoffs) (November - April)
    • If the temperature is greater than or equal to 50°, then P = .1 * T - 4.9 (T = high temperature, P = points awarded)
    • If the temperature is less than 50°, no points are awarded.
  • Low temperature
    • WINTER VERSION (Used from start of summer playoffs until start of next summer's season) (October - June)
    • If the temperature is less than 40°, then P = -.1 * T + 4.0 (T = low temperature, P = points awarded)
    • If the temperature is greater than or equal to 40°, no points are awarded.
    • SUMMER VERSION (Reasoning for increasing criteria: to give northern cities a chance to score temperature points in the summer season) (Used from start of summer season until summer playoffs) (June - October)
    • If the temperature is less than 60°, then P = -.1 * T + 6.0 (T = low temperature, P = points awarded)
    • If the temperature is greater than or equal to 60°, no points are awarded.

PRECIPITATION
  • 0.2 points are awarded for every hundredths of an inch of precipitation. In formula form, P = Pcp * 20 (Pcp = precipitation, P = points awarded)

WIND SPEED
  • NOTE: This is the highest sustained wind speed, not gusts.
  • If the wind speed is greater than or equal to 20 mph, then P = .4 * W - 7.6 (W = wind speed, P = points awarded)

GAME TIEBREAKER

  • If after 7 days or 14 days whatever the case may be, and both sides are tied, which is unlikely given points are in decimals, but if so then these steps will be taken in the following order to determine the victor:
    • Most days won by points
    • Points are re-calculated for each day through a new set of formulas that are meant to distribute points with no restrictions imposed:
      • We consider both the high and the low temperature this time around. The conversion is 0.1 points for every degree from the base temperature 54°. In formula forms:
      • High temperature: P = .1 * T + 5.4
      • Low temperature: P = -.1 * T + 5.4
      • No recalculations for precipitations because every drop of rain counts from before, there were no restrictions imposed.
      • Wind speed: P = .4 * W (We consider all wind speeds this time, not just speeds greater than or equal to 20 mph.)
    • Most points scored during the weekend (Saturday and Sunday). If still tied, then look back at Friday. If still tied, then look back at Thursday, etc.
  • The only case in which a game tiebreaker won't be implemented is the championship game. If both sides are tied after 14 days, then we go to "sudden death". Each side continues for additional days until a tie is broken.

PLAYOFFS TIEBREAKER

  • If two or more cities have the same record at the end of the season and there is a need to determine which city gets which seed for the playoffs, then these following tiebreaker procedures are taken:
  • NOTE: If more than two cities are tied and after going through the tiebreaker, one or more cities are eliminated but there are still cities that remains tied, the procedure is repeated and starts from the top to break the tie between the remaining cities.
  • NOTE: Division ties must be broken first before other ties can be broken.
  • DIVISION TIEBREAKER
    • Best head-to-head or if more than 2 cities are tied, best record in games among the tied teams.
    • Best division record
    • Best conference record
    • Most points scored in all games
  • SEEDING TIEBREAKER
    • Best head-to-head or if more than 2 cities are tied, best record in games among the tied teams.
    • Best conference record
    • Most points scored in all games

PLAYOFFS

  • 8 cities with the best records from each conference (16 cities total) play a knockout tournament to determine the champion. The two conference winners of the knockout stage meet in the championship match and battle for all the glory! The 2014 Winter Playoffs start on April 6th, 2014 lasting until May 31st, 2014. The 2014 Summer Playoffs start on October 5th, 2014 lasting until November 29th, 2014. Unlike the regular season, a game is 2 weeks, 14 days long. The playoff brackets for each conference go as follows:
Conference    Conference  Conference
Quarterfinals    Semifinals    Finals
_#1 seed__
                        _______
_#8 seed__                
                                          _______
_#4 seed__                
                        _______
_#5 seed__                
                                                           _CONFERENCE WINNER__
_#3 seed__                
                        _______
_#6 seed__                
                                           _______
_#2 seed__
                        _______
_#7 seed__

No comments:

Post a Comment